Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.489267 0.538961 0.592371 0.654181 0.723911 0.800337 0.890705
2025-10-05 0.415692 0.486012 0.567224 0.668561 0.792474 0.940148 1.131086
2025-10-12 0.372354 0.452921 0.550568 0.678881 0.844901 1.055021 1.345210
2025-10-19 0.339089 0.425501 0.534319 0.683392 0.885407 1.154224 1.546884
2025-10-26 0.312772 0.402892 0.520118 0.686548 0.921344 1.247917 1.749588
2025-11-02 0.292529 0.385627 0.510260 0.692973 0.960337 1.347675 1.971422
2025-11-09 0.268574 0.360885 0.487456 0.678075 0.965801 1.397488 2.121829
2025-11-16 0.254533 0.348506 0.480433 0.684521 1.002342 1.496465 2.361468
2025-11-23 0.238931 0.332535 0.466686 0.679174 1.019391 1.565533 2.559236
2025-11-30 0.227609 0.321834 0.459608 0.682950 1.050490 1.659645 2.812126
2025-12-07 0.214150 0.306959 0.445036 0.673423 1.058419 1.714817 3.000903
2025-12-14 0.202291 0.293686 0.431889 0.664884 1.066756 1.770808 3.197982
2025-12-21 0.187413 0.275065 0.409469 0.639807 1.045068 1.772123 3.290843
2025-12-28 0.182185 0.271176 0.410116 0.653370 1.092655 1.905907 3.674314
2026-01-04 0.176646 0.266390 0.408884 0.663419 1.134561 2.033394 4.065444
2026-01-11 0.170433 0.260106 0.404699 0.667807 1.166109 2.143901 4.437584
2026-01-18 0.164451 0.253823 0.400053 0.670877 1.195207 2.252522 4.824133
2026-01-25 0.159467 0.248887 0.397327 0.677125 1.230922 2.378901 5.276394
2026-02-01 0.151324 0.238198 0.384022 0.662635 1.223609 2.411801 5.499789
2026-02-08 0.147135 0.234006 0.381806 0.668905 1.259246 2.543442 6.005273
2026-02-15 0.141422 0.226888 0.373964 0.663704 1.270286 2.620496 6.378163
2026-02-22 0.137418 0.222531 0.370806 0.667377 1.300503 2.745690 6.911972
2026-03-01 0.131783 0.215027 0.361496 0.658110 1.301557 2.801156 7.253469